This talk will introduce the basic principles of Bayesian reasoning, which provides a modern, rigorous, and intuitive methodology to help social scientists make better inferences from qualitative, case-study evidence. Bayesianism provides prescriptions for rational reasoning under uncertainty, with the goal of making well-justified assessments about how strongly the information in hand supports a given explanation over rival hypotheses. The talk will draw on coauthored work with A.E. Charman (UC Berkeley, Dept. of Physics), Social Inquiry and Bayesian Inference: Rethinking Qualitative Research (forthcoming, CUP) and will include illustrations from the author’s research on the politics of progressive taxation in Latin America.
Your joining details will be emailed to you before the event.
Please register for the event here.
Please be advised, registration will close on 4 May, 2021.